By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - In a sharp turnaround, Republican
John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama
in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager
of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on
Wednesday.
McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent
to 41 percent, wiping out Obama's solid 7-point advantage in
July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby
poll.
The reversal follows a month of attacks by McCain, who has
questioned Obama's experience, criticized his opposition to
most new offshore oil drilling and mocked his overseas trip.
The poll was taken Thursday through Saturday as Obama
wrapped up a weeklong vacation in Hawaii that ceded the
political spotlight to McCain, who seized on Russia's invasion
of Georgia to emphasize his foreign policy views.
"There is no doubt the campaign to discredit Obama is
paying off for McCain right now," pollster John Zogby said.
"This is a significant ebb for Obama."
McCain now has a 9-point edge, 49 percent to 40 percent,
over Obama on the critical question of who would be the best
manager of the economy -- an issue nearly half of voters said
was their top concern in the November 4 presidential election.
That margin reversed Obama's 4-point edge last month on the
economy over McCain, an Arizona senator and former Vietnam
prisoner of war who has admitted a lack of economic expertise
and shows far greater interest in foreign and military policy.
McCain has been on the offensive against Obama during the
last month over energy concerns, with polls showing strong
majorities supporting his call for an expansion of offshore oil
drilling as gasoline prices hover near $4 a gallon.
Obama had opposed new offshore drilling, but said recently
he would support a limited expansion as part of a comprehensive
energy program.
That was one of several recent policy shifts for Obama, as
he positions himself for the general election battle. But Zogby
said the changes could be taking a toll on Obama's support,
particularly among Democrats and self-described liberals.
"That hairline difference between nuance and what appears
to be flip-flopping is hurting him with liberal voters," Zogby
said.
Obama's support among Democrats fell 9 percentage points
this month to 74 percent, while McCain has the backing of 81
percent of Republicans. Support for Obama, an Illinois senator,
fell 12 percentage points among liberals, with 10 percent of
liberals still undecided compared to 9 percent of
conservatives.
OBAMA NEEDS TO WORK ON BASE
"Conservatives were supposed to be the bigger problem for
McCain," Zogby said. "Obama still has work to do on his base.
At this point McCain seems to be doing a better job with his."
The dip in support for Obama, who would be the first black
U.S. president, cut across demographic and ideological lines.
He slipped among Catholics, born-again Christians, women,
independents and younger voters. He retained the support of
more than 90 percent of black voters.
"There were no wild swings, there isn't one group that is
radically different than last month or even two months ago. It
was just a steady decline for Obama across the board," Zogby
said.
Obama's support among voters between the ages of 18 and 29,
which had been one of his strengths, slipped 12 percentage
points to 52 percent. McCain, who will turn 72 next week, was
winning 40 percent of younger voters.
"Those are not the numbers Obama needs to win," Zogby said
about Americans under 30. The 47-year-old is counting on a
strong turnout among young voters, a key bloc of support during
his primary battle with New York Sen. Hillary Clinton.
It made little difference when independent candidate Ralph
Nader and Libertarian Party candidate Bob Barr, who are both
trying to add their names to state ballots.
McCain still held a 5-point edge over Obama, 44 percent to
39 percent, when all four names were included. Barr earned 3
percent and Nader 2 percent.
Most national polls have given Obama a narrow lead over
McCain throughout the summer. In the Reuters/Zogby poll, Obama
had a 5-point lead in June, shortly after he clinched the
Democratic nomination, and an 8-point lead on McCain in May.
The telephone poll of 1,089 likely voters had a margin of
error of 3 percentage points.
The poll was taken as both candidates head into their
nominating conventions and the announcements of their choices
of vice presidential picks. The Democratic convention begins on
Monday in Denver, with the Republican convention opening the
next Monday, September 1, in St. Paul, Minnesota..
(Editing by Patricia Wilson and Patricia Zengerle)