By Fredrik Dahl
TEHRAN (Reuters) - Iran will hold its 2009 presidential
election on June 12, when conservative Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is
widely expected to stand for a second four-year term despite
criticism over his economic policies.
Iranian media said on Sunday the Guardian Council, a
constitutional watchdog, and the Interior Ministry had agreed
on the date, when parliament mid-term polls will also be
organized.
"The 10th presidential election ... will be held on the
22nd of Khordad of next year," election headquarters head
Alireza Afshar told the Fars News Agency, referring to the
number of such elections in Iran since its 1979 Islamic
Revolution.
The Iranian month of Khordad ends on June 21 in 2009.
Even though Iran's nuclear row with the West dominates
headlines abroad, analysts predict that the economy and rising
inflation in the world's fourth-largest oil exporter will be
the main issues in the election campaign.
Some said Ahmadinejad may face challenges both from
conservative critics and reformist rivals, but that he would
have a good chance of re-election as he enjoys the apparent
support of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Ahmadinejad, who says Iran will never back down in the
dispute over its nuclear program, won the 2005 vote on a pledge
to share out Iran's oil wealth more fairly and to revive the
values of the revolution almost three decades ago.
LEADER'S SUPPORT
He has proved a polarizing figure in Iranian politics, with
some conservatives joining reformists in saying his hardline
approach on the nuclear issue has further isolated Iran.
The West accuses Tehran of seeking to build atomic weapons
despite Iranian denials. Iran's failure to convince world
powers of its peaceful aims has led to three rounds of U.N.
sanctions.
Ahmadinejad is also under fire at home from the public, the
media and pro-reform opponents over his government's failure to
rein in steadily climbing inflation, officially running at an
annual 27.6 percent.
But he has won public support from Khamenei, the Islamic
Republic's most powerful figure, who ultimately determines
nuclear and other key policies. He has praised Ahmadinejad's
handling of the nuclear file.
"That is an important factor," one Iranian analyst said.
The analyst, who declined to be named, said he believed
Ahmadinejad was the current favorite and that he saw only
moderate former President Mohammad Khatami as a potentially
strong challenger, if he stands as a candidate.
Commentator Amir Mohebian said Western pressure on Iran
only benefited Ahmadinejad. But he cautioned that it was
difficult to know how people would vote in the absence of
"exact" opinion polls in Iran.
Tehran Mayor Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, a conservative rival
of Ahmadinejad, would also stand a chance if he ran, he said.
Under the constitution, the president is Iran's
second-highest official after the supreme leader, heading the
government and chairing the Supreme National Security Council.
(Additional reporting by Zahra Hosseinian; Editing by
Robert Hart)