By Doug Palmer
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A record drop in U.S. imports
because of slowing domestic demand took a big bite out of the
U.S. trade deficit in March despite record high oil prices.
The trade gap shrank 5.7 percent in March to $58.2 billion,
the Commerce Department reported on Friday, much smaller than
expected. The decline reflected another strong month of U.S.
exports and a record $6.1 billion drop in imports to $206.7
billion, which showed the U.S. slowdown has taken a toll on
consumer and business demand for foreign goods.
"Trade continues to be a huge support for the U.S. economy.
Export demand is holding up well," said Nigel Gault, chief U.S.
economist at Global Insight. "Meanwhile, much of the slowdown
in U.S. domestic spending is being passed on to the rest of the
world through lower imports."
The narrowing trade gap means the U.S. economic growth was
somewhat stronger than first estimated. Based on the trade
data, Gault said he expected the government to raise its
estimate of first quarter U.S. economic growth to 0.9 percent,
from an initial reading of 0.6 percent last month.
Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist with High Frequency
Economics, pegged first quarter growth at 1.1 percent because
of a stronger-than-expected contribution from trade.
U.S. Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez said the March
data showed a "very strong close to the quarter."
Compared with first quarter 2007, U.S. exports are up 17.6
percent, while imports have increased 12 percent, he said.
The economy is still not performing as well as it could,
but Congress should wait to see the results of a recent $152
billion economic stimulus package before passing new
legislation, he told Reuters.
"Obviously, we're looking at data every single day and
talking about this every single day, but let's see how this
works," Gutierrez said.
RECORD OIL PRICES, REDUCED OIL IMPORTS
U.S. markets paid little attention to report, focusing
instead on renewed concerns about the financial services sector
after American International Group <AIG.N>, the world's largest
insurer, posted a record $7.8 billion quarterly loss.
The Dow Jones industrial average was down more that 1
percent. The dollar was lower, but U.S. government debt prices
rose.
Average oil prices jumped more than $5 per barrel in March
to a record $89.85, compared to $53.00 in the same month last
year. As prices have move skyward, the volume of oil imports
fell in March to 8.99 million barrels a day - the lowest since
February 2003 and well below the 2007 average of 10.1 million.
U.S. exports retreated slightly in March, but were still
the second highest on record at $148.5 billion. Although
exports of U.S. aircraft, autos, and consumer goods all fell in
March, overall shipments to the European Union and South and
Central America set records during the month.
Before the March decline, U.S. exports had set records in
12 consecutive months - helping to keep the U.S. economy afloat
during a time of turmoil brought on by a housing slump and
spreading liquidity crisis.
"In general, the narrowing trade gap has reflected a rise
in exports, helped by a weaker dollar and higher demand outside
of the U.S.," said James O'Sullivan, economist with UBS
Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut.
The closely-watched U.S. trade deficit with China narrowed
to $16.1 billion in March, the lowest in two years. U.S.
exports to China jumped 10 percent to their second highest on
record, while imports from that country fell 7 percent.
(Additional reporting by Richard Leong in New York; Editing
by Neil Stempleman)